Indexes
December 2021 GDP Forecast | Poised to see a nearly 10% GDP growth in 2021, Georgia still struggles with inflation, stagnant consumer confidence and slow tourism recovery
16
December
2021
ISET-PI has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the first quarter of 2022. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Recently, Geostat released its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for the first and second quarters of 2021. The Q1 and Q2 growth rates were revised upward to -4.1% (by 0.4 ppt) and downward to 28.9% (by 1 ppt) respectively. The real GDP growth rate amounted to 6.9% year-on-year for October 2021. Consequently, the estimated real GDP growth for the first ten months of 2021 was 10.5%.
As a result of the update, the growth forecast for Q4 of 2021 decreased by 0.1 ppt to 10.8%. ISET-PI’s second forecast for Q1 of 2022 puts GDP growth at 7.3%.
Based on October’s data, we expect annual growth in 2021 to be 10.7%, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous forecast.
Recent Publications
View All
March 2024 | Growth surge or temporary blip? ISET-PI unveils key factors shaping Georgia's economy
25
March
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for January 2024. The estimated growth stands at 5.8%, while the estimated growth of 2023 reached 7.5%.
February 2024 | Currency gains, trade contraction, and remittance normalization: key drivers of Georgia's revised 2024 GDP forecast
26
February
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for December 2023. The estimated growth stands at 8.3%, while the average annual real GDP growth reached 7%.
January 2024 | Analyzing economic trends in Georgia: moderate growth in foreign currency deposits, annual decline in exports, remittances adjust for migration impact, below-target inflation
29
January
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for November 2023. The estimated growth stands at 5.9%, while the average real GDP growth for January-November 2023 reached 6.9%.
December 2023 | Economic momentum revealed: deposits soar, trade increases mostly driven by re-export, and remittances shift – Georgia's GDP growth chronicles
11
January
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for October 2023. The estimated growth stands at 6.2%, while the average real GDP growth for January- October 2023 reached 6.9%.
November 2023 | Remittances dip as one-time impact expires, money supply sustains growth, marginal contraction in credit expansion, and inflation approaches zero
11
December
2023
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for September 2023. The estimated growth stands at 5.1%, while the average real GDP growth for January-September 2023 reached 6.8%.
